IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.9	#189
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.8	#317
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.3	#241

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.5	#158

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.2%	5.0%	2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.9	13.8	14.5

.500 or above	40.2%	48.1%	23.0%
.500 or above in Conference	40.8%	46.1%	29.3%
Conference Champion	4.4%	5.5%	2.2%
Last Place in Conference	14.4%	11.7%	20.2%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%
First Round	4.0%	4.8%	2.3%
Second Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Home) - 68.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	4 - 7	5 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 3	12 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	216	Illinois-Chicago	W	69-64	68%
Dec 02, 2020	331	SIU Edwardsville	W	75-61	90%
Dec 03, 2020	79	@ DePaul	L	64-76	14%
Dec 13, 2020	9	@ Iowa	L	63-84	3%
Dec 18, 2020	345	Chicago St.	W	71-52	95%
Dec 29, 2020	130	Ball St.	L	65-66	47%
Jan 02, 2021	146	Bowling Green	W	71-70	50%
Jan 05, 2021	134	@ Ohio	L	64-71	28%
Jan 09, 2021	179	@ Miami (OH)	L	65-69	37%
Jan 12, 2021	126	Akron	L	68-69	45%
Jan 16, 2021	130	@ Ball St.	L	62-69	28%
Jan 19, 2021	134	Ohio	L	67-68	48%
Jan 23, 2021	116	Buffalo	L	73-75	41%
Jan 26, 2021	146	@ Bowling Green	L	68-74	31%
Jan 30, 2021	160	Eastern Michigan	W	64-63	54%
Feb 02, 2021	238	@ Western Michigan	L	66-67	49%
Feb 06, 2021	207	Central Michigan	W	76-72	64%
Feb 09, 2021	137	Toledo	L	68-69	48%
Feb 13, 2021	172	@ Kent St.	L	67-71	36%
Feb 16, 2021	126	@ Akron	L	65-72	28%
Feb 20, 2021	179	Miami (OH)	W	68-66	57%
Feb 23, 2021	137	@ Toledo	L	66-72	30%
Feb 27, 2021	160	@ Eastern Michigan	L	61-66	36%
Mar 02, 2021	238	Western Michigan	W	69-63	69%
Mar 05, 2021	207	@ Central Michigan	L	73-75	45%
Projected Record						11 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	1.0	1.1	0.4	0.2	0.0		4.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.4	1.9	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0				5.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	1.7	2.5	1.4	0.4	0.1						6.6	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	2.1	2.8	1.5	0.2	0.0							7.0	4th
5th										0.3	2.2	3.7	1.7	0.1	0.0								8.0	5th
6th									0.3	2.2	3.9	2.0	0.4	0.0									8.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	1.9	4.0	2.4	0.3	0.0										9.0	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	1.8	4.4	2.7	0.4	0.0											9.6	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.0	4.0	3.2	0.7	0.0												10.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.6	2.5	3.8	2.9	0.7	0.0													10.6	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	1.0	2.7	3.5	2.5	0.6	0.1														10.7	11th
12th	0.3	1.0	1.6	2.6	2.4	1.2	0.3	0.0															9.5	12th

Total	0.3	1.0	1.9	3.7	5.8	7.5	9.0	9.6	10.5	10.0	9.3	8.6	6.9	5.6	4.2	2.8	1.6	1.2	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	97.8%	0.4		0.4	0.0
17-3	90.3%	1.1		0.9	0.2	0.0
16-4	65.5%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	34.7%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	14.8%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0
13-7	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.4%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.4%	4.4		2.7	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%									0.0					0.0	0.0								0.0
19-1	0.2%		63.0%	52.1%	10.9%	10.7						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		22.8%
18-2	0.4%		44.5%	32.5%	12.0%	12.3										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2		17.8%
17-3	1.2%		28.4%	25.9%	2.5%	12.4										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.8		3.4%
16-4	1.6%		23.5%	22.0%	1.5%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.2		1.9%
15-5	2.8%		17.2%	17.2%		13.4													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	2.3
14-6	4.2%		18.1%	18.1%		14.1													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0	3.4
13-7	5.6%		10.0%	10.0%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	5.0
12-8	6.9%		6.2%	6.2%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	6.5
11-9	8.6%		4.7%	4.7%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	8.2
10-10	9.3%		2.1%	2.1%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	9.1
9-11	10.0%		1.8%	1.8%		15.5																0.1	0.1	9.8
8-12	10.5%		0.6%	0.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	10.4
7-13	9.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	9.6
6-14	9.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.0
5-15	7.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
4-16	5.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
3-17	3.7%																							3.7
2-18	1.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
1-19	1.0%																							1.0
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		4.2%	4.1%	0.1%	13.9				0.0		0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.9	0.6	95.8		0.1%